Technology has revolutionized every aspect of our lives, so it shouldn’t come as a surprise that tech-based investment platforms, known as robo-advisors, are becoming more popular. Robo-advisors were created in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, as an alternative to traditional financial advisors and investment managers. This year, robo-advisor platforms crossed the $1 trillion threshold in assets under management.1
These web- or app-based platforms usually use a survey to gather information about your goals, assets, and risk tolerance. Then, based on that information, the program automatically develops and implements an investment strategy. There is usually little or no interaction with an advisor, so everything is based on your answers to the survey questions. Because there is no human interaction, the fees with robo-advisors are often lower than you might find with a traditional advisor or investment manager. However, cheaper isn’t necessarily better. There are many important functions that a robo-advisor can’t perform. Below are a few services you can’t get with a robo-advisor: Financial Life Decisions Your investment strategy is an important part of your financial life, but it’s just one piece of the puzzle. Many financial outcomes aren’t driven by your investment strategy, but rather the choices you make with your investments in life. For example, how much should you contribute to your 401(k) each year? Is a traditional IRA or a Roth IRA right for you? What can you do to minimize your taxes each year? When’s the right time to file for Social Security? A computer can’t answer these questions because it doesn’t understand your full financial picture. These questions and more are often very complex and require nuanced answers based on your unique needs and goals. Real human consultation with an experienced professional is often an effective way to find answers and develop a strategy. Accurate Answers and Input Like most technological strategies, a robo-advisor’s output is only as good as the input. These platforms rely on your initial answers to develop your strategy. But what if your answers to the initial survey aren’t correct? While you may be asked about your goals or risk tolerance, it’s possible that you may not truly know the answers. Do you really know if you will retire at age 65? Do you know how you would react if the market declined by a certain percentage? Again, a conversation with a professional can help you fully understand your goals and your feelings about risk. That way, your strategy can be based on what you truly need and desire rather than based on a quiz that took a few minutes to complete. Protecting You from Yourself When the COVID pandemic began in late February, the S&P 500 declined by 33.93% in a month. Did you feel tempted to sell your investments and move into cash or other less volatile assets? If so, you’re not alone. However, had you done so, you may have missed out on the market’s bounce back. Since March 23, the S&P 500 has climbed 49.35%.2 It’s natural to feel anxious or unnerved by market declines, especially when it falls as rapidly as it did earlier this year. However, an advisor can help you look at the long-term strategy and help you determine if a change in allocation is actually warranted. A robo-advisor simply executes your order to sell without any consultation or advice. While that may be convenient, it may not be the best decision for your long-term goals. Looking for custom advice and strategy to help you reach your biggest financial goals? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Financial Solutions Group. We can help you analyze your needs and implement a strategy. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.tradersmagazine.com/news/robo-advisors-to-become-1-4t-industry-this-year/ 2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_QQBhX8b3K5K-tQbo56XwCw7:0 Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20419 - 2020/9/17 On Wednesday, September 16, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell offered his assessment of the economic recovery. The press conference offered some positive news, but also a sobering prediction that a full economic recovery will take years.1
The good news is that the Fed has cut its 2020 median unemployment rate projection to 7.6%, down from a 9.3% forecast in June. The Fed also adjusted its projected 2020 GDP reduction to 3.7%, down from a 6.5% decline that was projected in June. GDP, which stands for gross domestic product, is a broad measure of economic growth. A decline in GDP means the economy is contracting rather than expanding.1 Powell also said that the Fed had shifted its focus to employment growth rather than inflation control. That means the Fed expects to keep interest rates at or near zero until the economy is near maximum employment and inflation is projected to exceed 2%. He added that it will likely take years before the economy has reached those thresholds.1 While low interest rates may be good for borrowers and investors, Powell’s comments indicate that the Fed believes the economy is years away from a full recovery. He indicated that unemployment is still four times higher than the pre-pandemic level.1 “That just tells you that the labor market has improved, but it’s a long way from maximum employment,” Powell said.1 Stock Market Returns The investment markets continue their recovery from the downturn that hit in March of this year. Through September 16, the indexes have the following year-to-date returns: S&P 500: 3.39%2 DJIA: -2.90%3 NASDAQ: 20.19%4 While the markets have mostly recovered from their losses earlier in the year, volatility can strike at any time. That’s especially true should the COVID pandemic worsen or if the economy suffers continued damage. There also may be increasing uncertainty as the election approaches. If you're concerned about risk, let’s talk about it. There are a wide range of strategies and tools we can implement to minimize risk and protect your retirement income. Let’s connect today and discuss your needs, goals and concerns. Contact us at Financial Solutions Group, we welcome the opportunity to help you implement a strategy based on your objectives. 1https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/16/economy/federal-reserve-september-meeting/index.html 2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_nHNjX8_WMNLKtQbPmoKICQ7:0,_BHtjX7uKPNqttQbohYywCQ7:0 3https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXDJX:.DJI&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRozC3w8sc9YSmtSWtOXmNU4eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLjYoOyeKS4uDj0c_UNkgsry3kWsfJ6-rm4Rrh4RVjpuXh5AgAzsV5OSAAAAA#scso=_hH9jX4eyE5m1tAbHirPABA7:0 https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRoyi3w8sc9YSmdSWtOXmNU4-IKzsgvd80rySypFJLgYoOy-KR4uLj0c_UNjCxMjYtyeBaxCnr6ubhG-DkGuzgGWul5Rng6AwDeg85uTgAAAA#scso=_139jX-TyCIy3tAbe4bnYBg7:0 Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20415 - 2020/9/17 The financial markets have been on a wild ride in 2020. The year began with a continuation of the bull market that started in 2009. The longest bull market in history, however, came to an abrupt end with the arrival of the COVID-19 pandemic.1
From February 20 to March 23, the S&P 500 fell by 33.67%. From that lowpoint through August 14, the index has climbed 50%. In fact, the S&P 500 has recouped all earlier losses and is now in positive territory year-to-date.2 However, that doesn’t mean your portfolio is back where it started at the beginning of the year. Your portfolio is probably allocated across a variety of asset classes. The exact allocation should be based on your specific needs, goals and risk tolerance. Diversification, or the allocation of funds across many different assets, helps to minimize risk exposure. If one asset performs poorly, only that portion of the allocation suffers. The loss may be offset by gains in other asset classes. Your various asset classes are always moving in different directions. For example, consider a few asset classes and their index performance through July of this year:3 BloomBarc US 1-5 Yr Government Idx (Short-term Government Treasuries): 4.36% Bloomberg Commodity Index TR (Commodities): -14.80% S&P 500 Index (Large-Cap U.S. Stocks): 2.38% S&P 600 Smallcap (Small-cap U.S. Stocks): -14.48% That’s just a sampling of some common asset classes that are often included in diversified portfolios. Over time, your allocation becomes out of balance. For example, your allocation to small cap stocks may have declined this year as the asset class has declined in value. Similarly, your allocation to short-term treasuries may have increased as those assets have risen in value. The result is an allocation that may be very different than what you intended. One strategy is to review and rebalance your portfolio regularly. In fact, you can set your account up for automatic rebalancing, so at regular periods, assets will be sold and purchased to get back to your original allocation. If you haven’t reviewed your allocation lately, it’s possible it doesn’t align with your current goals and risk tolerance. We can help you implement the right allocation for your needs and continue to rebalance the portfolio on an ongoing basis. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. Contact us today at Financial Solutions Group. 1https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/11/investing/bear-market-stocks-recession/index.html 2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_StQ2X43rM4q_tQadupGwDA1:0 3https://personal.vanguard.com/us/funds/tools/benchmarkreturns Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20364-2020/8/20 It took just under five months for it to happen. On August 17th, the S&P 500 closed at 3389.78—an all-time record. That record is also significant because it means the index officially recouped all losses from the downturn that happened in March.1 This year has been a rollercoaster ride for investors. The S&P 500 dropped 33.92% from February 19 to March 23 as the COVID-19 pandemic hit the United States. Since March 23, the index has increased 51.51%, triggering a new bull market.2 However, a sharp increase in the stock market doesn’t mean the U.S. economy is out of the woods. In fact, other metrics would indicate that the economy is still struggling. In the second quarter, gross domestic product contracted at an annual rate of 32.9%, the largest quarterly contraction on record. That contraction is more than three times the previous record—a 10% contraction in 1958.3 Also, not all sectors of the stock market have participated in the recovery. The increase over the last five months has been fueled by growth in the Information Technology (IT) and Consumer Discretionary sectors, each of which are up more than 23% year-to-date. However, other sectors, particularly Financials and Energy, are negative on the year. In fact, of the 11 S&P 500 Sectors, five are still negative on the year.4 The 4th Quarter is historically the best quarter for S&P 500 performance, with the index up an average of 3.51% from October through December over the past 30 years.5 However, 2020 is not like other years. There are factors and risks that could threaten the market’s recovery. Below are a couple things to watch as the year comes to a close: ElectionWe’re only a couple months away from the election, as if 2020 needed more uncertainty. Everyone has their own preferred candidate. However, some investment managers are saying the real risk isn’t one of the candidates winning, it’s an unclear outcome. Bridgewater Associates, which manages more than $140 billion, recently told clients the real risk is if there is “material concern over the legitimacy of the process.” Analysis of recent options transactions show that many investors are taking protective stances through January 2021, possibly an indication they are concerned about post-election volatility.6 However, UBS notes that post-election volatility is often short-lived. They point to the most recent example of an election with an unclear winner—the 2000 election between Al Gore and George W. Bush. During that time, the S&P 500 fell around 6% in the weeks after the election as litigation mounted. However, those losses were erased as soon as the election reached resolution.7 COVIDOf course, the other major risk to the economy and financial markets in the fourth quarter is developments related to COVID. The pandemic is now in its seventh month. As of mid-August, the death toll in the United States exceeded 168,000, with more than 5 million confirmed cases.8
The development of a vaccine in the fourth quarter could deliver a boost to the economy. The government has implemented Operation Warp Speed, an initiative to deliver 300 million vaccines by January. Moderna has a vaccine in phase 3 trials, but it is uncertain whether the company will be able to meet the government’s target date.8 Ready to protect your portfolio from fourth quarter uncertainty? Let’s talk about it. Contact us today at Financial Solutions Group. We can analyze your needs and goals and implement a plan. Let’s connect soon and start the conversation. 1https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/17/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html 2https://www.google.com/search?q=INDEXSP:.INX&tbm=fin&stick=H4sIAAAAAAAAAONgecRowi3w8sc9YSntSWtOXmNU5eIKzsgvd80rySypFBLnYoOyeKW4uTj1c_UNDM0qi4t5FrHyePq5uEYEB1jpefpFAAAU6wGESAAAAA#scso=_iyc9X5L9Eq6E9PwPt8m4mAM1:0 3https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/07/30/896714437/3-months-of-hell-u-s-economys-worst-quarter-ever 4https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/17/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html 5https://stockanalysis.com/average-monthly-stock-returns/ 6https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2020-election-wall-street-stock-market 7https://fortune.com/2020/08/18/trump-biden-stock-market-2020-election-contested-results-what-could-happen-investors/ 8https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/08/19/coronavirus-covid-live-updates-us/ Licensed Insurance Professional. This information is designed to provide a general overview with regard to the subject matter covered and is not state specific. The authors, publisher and host are not providing legal, accounting or specific advice for your situation. By providing your information, you give consent to be contacted about the possible sale of an insurance or annuity product. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting insurance professional. The statements and opinions expressed are those of the author and are subject to change at any time. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, presenting insurance professional makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. This material has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal, tax or investment advice. This information has been provided by a Licensed Insurance Professional and is not sponsored or endorsed by the Social Security Administration or any government agency. 20365 – 2020/8/20 |
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